West Africa's main bloc, the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), has set a "D-day" for potential military intervention to restore democracy in Niger following the recent coup that saw President Mohamed Bazoum detained. While diplomatic efforts are still underway, ECOWAS has agreed to activate a standby force as a last resort.
ECOWAS Commissioner for Political Affairs, Peace and Security, Abdel-Fatau Musah, stated that they are prepared to act whenever necessary, with the details of the intervention operation being fine-tuned during a meeting of West African army chiefs in Ghana's capital, Accra.
However, it's worth noting that any potential military intervention faces significant political and legal obstacles, including approval by participating West African states' parliaments and legislative bodies. Several nations, including Nigeria, have expressed reluctance towards military action.
Mutaru Mumuni, executive director at the West Africa Centre for Counter-Extremism, observed that ECOWAS appears to be sending mixed signals, simultaneously emphasizing dialogue while focusing on military intervention, which may not be well-received locally.
The coup in Niger has strained the region, leading ECOWAS to impose economic and travel sanctions. As negotiations stall and the coup leaders consolidate power, ECOWAS is left with limited options.
Any military action could further destabilize the already volatile Sahel region, which has been grappling with armed groups for a decade. Niger's strategic importance, with its uranium and oil reserves and role in the fight against extremist groups, adds to the complexity of the situation.
While the situation in Niger remains fluid, ECOWAS continues to work towards a peaceful resolution while keeping military intervention as a last resort.